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USA TODAY Sports’ Scott Gleeson breaks down the teams on the bubble heading toward Selection Sunday. USA TODAY

The Big Ten has been brimming with parity this season with 11 of the league’s 14 teams still in consideration for the NCAA tournament. 

In the latest bracket projection, Indiana and Purdue find themselves as two of the last four teams in the field as forecasted No. 12 play-in seeds. Both teams have enticing credentialsbut lack necessary profile facets the selection committee will look for. 

Indiana (16-9, 6-8) has lost five of its last six and owns a poor NET score of 63. On the plus side, there are no bad losses on the Hoosiers’ profile and they also have four Quadrant 1 victories (including a big one against Florida State) and a top-50 strength of schedule. Purdue (14-12, 7-8) has lost its last two and has a much higher NET score but also only has three Quad 1 wins and two Quadrant 3 losses to stain the résumé. 

For now, projected No. 10 seed Rutgers, No. 9 Wisconsin and No. 8 seed Michigan find themselves in the clear but they’re hardly safe for the final three weeks of the season. One positive for a plethora of bubble teams all being in one league: There’s opportunity to bolster a tourney résumé and not badly stain it at the same time. The negative: There’s only so much room and the borderline teams tend to cannibalize each other. Only the strong survive. 

CONFERENCE BREAKDOWN

Results/records shown are against Division I opponents only. Breakdown data, compiled by bracketologist Shelby Mast, is updated through games as of Feb. 18. Seeds are from USA TODAY Sports’ latest bracketology. 

American Athletic Conference

Locks: N/A | Probable: Houston

Cincinnati (In — No. 11): 17-8 (10-3), 48 NET, 26 SoS, 33 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Houston, Wichita State, Memphis, Tennessee, SMU
  • The Bad: Losses vs. Colgate, Bowling Green, Tulane

Wichita State (In — No. 11): 19-6 (7-5), 50 NET, 80 SoS, 134 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Connecticut, Virginia Commonwealth, South Carolina, Memphis
  • The Bad: Loss vs. Temple

Memphis (Out): 17-8 (6-6), 60 NET, 83 SoS, 147 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Tennessee, North Carolina State, Cincinnati
  • The Bad: Losses vs. Georgia, South Florida

SMU (Out): 18-6 (8-4), 66 NET, 166 SoS, 302 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Connecticut, Houston, Memphis
  • The Bad: Losses vs. Temple, East Carolina

Atlantic Coast Conference

Locks: Duke, Louisville, Florida State | Probable: N/A

Virginia (In — No. 10): 17-7 (9-5) 55 NET 71 SoS, 172 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Florida State, Syracuse, Arizona State, Notre Dame
  • The Bad: Loss vs. Boston College

North Carolina State (In — No. 12): 16-9 (7-7) 61 NET 91 SOS, 86 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Wisconsin, Virginia, Syracuse, Notre Dame
  • The Bad: Losses vs. Georgia Tech, North Carolina, Boston College

Clemson (Out): 13-12 (7-8) 79 NET 37 SoS, 165 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Duke, Louisville, Notre Dame, North Carolina State
  • The Bad: Losses vs. Virginia Tech, Miami, Wake Forest

Syracuse (Out): 14-11 (7-7) 65 NET 43 SoS, 153 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Virginia, Notre Dame
  • The Bad: Loss vs. Virginia Tech

Notre Dame (Out): 15-10 (6-8) 59 NET 111 SoS, 312 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Syracuse, Clemson
  • The Bad: Loss vs. Boston College, Georgia Tech

Big East

Locks: Seton Hall, Villanova, Creighton, Butler, Marquette | Probable: N/A

► Xavier (In — No. 9): 16-9 (5-7) 41 NET, 19 SoS, 94 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Seton Hall, DePaul, Georgetown, Cincinnati, Providence 
  • The Bad: Loss vs. Wake Forest

Georgetown (In — No. 11): 15-10 (5-7) 46 NET, 4 SoS, 39 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Creighton, Butler, SMU, Oklahoma State, Syracuse, DePaul, Texas
  • The Bad: No bad losses

Providence (Out): 14-12 (7-6) 62 NET, 15 SoS, 124 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Creighton, Seton Hall, Marquette, Butler, Georgetown,
  • The Bad: Losses to Charleston, Penn, Northwestern, Long Beach State

Big Ten

Locks: Maryland, Penn State, Michigan State, Iowa, Ohio State

Probable: Illinois, Wisconsin, Michigan

► Rutgers (In — No. 10): 17-8 (9-6) 28 NET, 56 SoS, 76 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Seton Hall, Penn State, Wisconsin, Purdue, Illinois, Minnesota, Indiana
  • The Bad: Losses to Pittsburgh, St. Bonaventure

► Indiana (In — No. 12): 16-9 (6-8) 57 NET, 48 SoS, 98 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Michigan State, Florida State, Iowa, Ohio State, Notre Dame
  • The Bad: no bad losses

► Purdue (In — No. 12): 14-12 (7-8) 33 NET, 62 SoS, 78 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Michigan State, Wisconsin, Iowa, Indiana, Minnesota, VCU, Virginia
  • The Bad: Losses to Texas, Nebraska

► Minnesota (Out): 12-12 (6-8) 40 NET, 22 SoS, 108 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Ohio State (2), Penn State, Wisconsin, Michigan, Oklahoma State
  • The Bad: Loss to Utah

Big 12

Locks: Baylor, Kansas, West Virginia | Probable: Texas Tech, Oklahoma

Bubble: N/A

Pac-12

Locks: Oregon, Colorado, Arizona | Probable: Southern California

► Arizona State (In — No. 9): 17-8 (8-4) 51 NET, 20 SoS, 88 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Arizona, USC, Washington, Oregon State
  • The Bad: Loss to Washington State

► Stanford (Out): 16-9 (5-7) 37 NET, 90 SoS, 205 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Oregon, Oklahoma
  • The Bad: Losses to Utah, California

Oregon State (Out): 15-10 (5-8) 74 NET, 120 SoS, 338 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Arizona, Colorado, Stanford, Oregon
  • The Bad: Losses to Utah, Washington State, Texas A&M, UCLA, California

SEC

Locks: Auburn, Kentucky, LSU | Probable: N/A

Florida (In — No. 12): 16-9 (8-4) 36 NET, 41 SoS, 17 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Auburn, Xavier, South Carolina, Alabama, Providence
  • The Bad: Losses to Missouri, Ole Miss

Arkansas (Out): 16-9 (4-8) 44 NET, 18 SoS, 11 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Alabama, Indiana
  • The Bad: Losses to Missouri, Western Kentucky

South Carolina (Out): 16-9 (8-4) 64 NET, 74 SoS, 117 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Kentucky, Arkansas, Virginia, Clemson, Tennessee
  • The Bad: Losses to Stetson, Boston, Ole Miss

Alabama (Out): 14-11 (6-6) 35 NET, 5 SoS, 35 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Auburn, LSU, Richmond, Mississippi State, Furman
  • The Bad: Losses to Penn, North Carolina, Iowa State

Mississippi State (Out): 16-9 (7-5) 52 NET, 47 SoS, 96 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Florida, Arkansas (2), Tennessee
  • The Bad: Losses to Ole Miss, Louisiana, Tech, New Mexico State

Tennessee (Out):14-11 (6-6) 63 NET, 36 SoS, 20 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Alabama, Arkansas, VCU, South Carolina
  • The Bad: Losses to Georgia, Texas A&M

Mid-Majors

Locks: Gonzaga, San Diego State, Dayton| Probable: Saint Mary’s, Brigham Young, Rhode Island

Northern Iowa (In — No. 10): 20-4 (11-3) 39 NET, 96 SoS, 72 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Colorado, South Carolina
  • The Bad: Losses to Southern Illinois, Illinois State

East Tennessee State (In — No. 11): 20-4 (12-2) 43 NET, 156 SoS, 73 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. LSU, UNCG (2)
  • The Bad: Losses to North Dakota State, Mercer

Utah State (Out): 19-7 (10-5) 42 NET, 94 SoS, 104 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. LSU, Florida
  • The Bad: Losses to UNLV, Air Force

Richmond (Out): 19-6 (9-3) 47 NET, 84 SoS, 113 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Rhode Island, Wisconsin, Virginia Commonwealth
  • The Bad: Loss to Radford

North Carolina-Greensboro (Out): 19-6 (11-3) 54 NET, 132 SoS, 77 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. Georgetown, Furman, Vermont
  • The Bad: Losses to Wofford, Montana State

Virginia Commonwealth (Out): 17-8 (7-5) 53 NET, 68 SoS 137 NonCon SoS

  • The Good: Wins vs. LSU, Richmond
  • The Bad: Loss to George Mason

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NCAA tourney Language Explainer:

  • Quadrant 1 wins: Home games vs. 1-30 NET teams; Neutral-site games vs. 1-50 NET; Away games vs. 1-75 NET
  • Quadrant 2 wins: Home games vs. 31-75 NET; Neutral-site games vs. 51-100 NET; Away games vs. 76-135 NET
  • Quadrant 3 wins, losses: Home games vs. 76-160 NET; Neutral-site games vs. 101-200 NET; Away games vs. 136-240 NET
  • Quadrant 4 wins, losses: Home games vs. 161-plus NET; Neutral-site games vs. 201-plus NET; Away games vs. 241-plus NET

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Note:  Mostly all statistical data is used from WarrenNolan.com. The NCAA’s NET rankings are also a reference point. 

About our bracketologist: Shelby Mast has been projecting the field since 2005 on his website, Bracket W.A.G. He joined USA TODAY in 2014. In his seventh season as our national bracketologist, Mast has finished as one of the top three bracketologists in the past six March Madnesses. He’s also predicted for The Indianapolis Star, collegeinsider.com and is an inaugural member of the Super 10 Selection Committee. Follow him on Twitter @BracketWag.

Follow college basketball reporter Scott Gleeson on Twitter @ScottMGleeson.